Chad Johnson's current redraft ADP is in the early-to-middle third-round range, which is phenomenal value if you ask me. The guy is a top 3-5 talent at his position, yet he can be had as your third fantasy player on draft day. The stud receiver has publicly committed himself to the Bengals and the upcoming NFL season - He has even said, in classic Chad fashion, that everyone should be ready for a "double-dose of Chad" this season. I truly believe that Chad is going to deliver on his dosage promise. While I urge everyone to use ADP info to their advantage, I won't hesitate to draft Chad in the second-round come August if his ADP calls for it. Don't get me wrong, I'm going to continue stealing him in the third-round for as long as I can, but I'll take him in the second if need be and roll with the RB, WR, RB strategy in '08 (with of course Turner often being my third-round grab).

Drew Brees' value just went up… again. With the recent acquisition of TE Jeremy Shockey by the Saints, Brees now has another legitimate target to spread the ball around to - on an offense already spilling over with talent. Back in my May spotlight on Brees, I pointed out his phenomenal numbers over the last two seasons, averaging 4400 yards and 28 TDs, and noted the tremendous value he was based on his ADP at the time. With the addition of Shockey, he is now climbing up everyone’s board and is no longer quite the steal he was - but still undervalued in my opinion. I now believe that 4700 yards and 35 TDs is easily within reach and that puts him in elite company ahead of all QBs except Brady. Landing him as the 3rd QB off the board (or later) is still very good value.

Bowe had a great rookie season for the Chiefs last year, catching 70 passes for 995 yards and 5 TDs. To put that in perspective, there have only been a handful of rookie wideouts to amass those kinds of numbers – one of which was a guy named Marques Colston in 2006. While I realize the situations are not identical, the same doubts were heard last season about Colston and his ability to repeat his numbers - all he did was go out and blow them away last year. I’m not saying I expect a 90+ catch season out of Bowe, but I think he will far outperform his current ADP which is in the 20-25 range. Some will have their doubts based on the Chiefs current QB situation, but I expect him to perform closer to a WR1 than a WR3 and would not hesitate to reach a bit to make sure I land him.

Looking for a low-risk/high-reward WR3 in 2008? Well, Donte Stallworth might just be your guy! Derek Anderson is set to explode in 2008, and with Braylon Edwards and Kellen Winslow constantly commanding defensive attention, how on earth is a defense going to account for Donte Stallworth? Don't expect the most consistent numbers from week to week, but I firmly believe that fantasy owners are going to get some monster games out of this guy, enough to allow him to produce a 800-900 yard season with 8 or so scores - Those are top 25WR numbers right there!

Ward is 32, but route runners like Terrell Owens and Joey Galloway are proving that a receiver can play in their prime through 34 years of age. Ward is going to have tremendous draft value this August, as he will be treated like a WR3/4, but capable of producing like a WR2 when all is said and done. Ward hasn't had a 1,000-yard season since 2004, but that Pittsburgh offense is going to be tough to stop in 2008, something Ward will benefit from, especially near the goal line. If forced to guess Ward's '08 stats through Week 16, I'd say 75 receptions for roughly 900 yards with roughly 7-8 scores sounds about right. That's roughly a top 20-25 fantasy wide receiver!

Brett is back in the news, deciding once again to flip-flop on his status for the upcoming season. By all accounts it appears he will play again, but not necessarily for the Packers, and in trying to estimate his value there are a few things to consider. First, he had a remarkable season last year throwing for 4,100 yards and 28 TDs – those numbers put him 4th on the yardage list between Romo and Palmer. Second, if he doesn’t play for Green Bay, he will likely choose another playoff caliber team – no way Brett plays for a team with no shot at the post-season at his age. Lastly, Brett will be playing with something to prove, and all of this means another top 10 season for the gunslinger. At the moment, he can be had in the last rounds of drafts or off the waiver wire, but that is about to change very quickly.

Quietly, Zach Miller had a very good season for Oakland in his rookie season, catching 44 passes for 444 yards and 3 TDs. If you break those numbers down even further, you’ll find that in his last eight games of the season he snagged 27 of those 44 passes. Now fast forward to this season and consider that Oakland will turn to their young QB JaMarcus Russell - and employ a game plan that will call for a lot of check downs to the backs and tight ends as he learns on the job. If you need proof of this, look to Russell’s only start in week 17 and you’ll find he completed 23 passes, eight of them to Miller for 84 yards. I like Miller to carry his second half success over into 2008 and be one of the big surprises at the position, somewhere in the range of 55/600/6, easily out producing his current ADP.

We’ve already seen what the Steelers think of this kid with the release of Najeh Davenport - before camp opens Mendenhall is already #2 on the depth chart and primed to be the goal line running back. Mendy will be worked into the rotation early and could be getting significant touches by mid-season, but the problem with rookies has always been “hitting the wall” toward the end of the year. So while I do like his chances to make an impact, I don’t think the Steelers can completely dismiss Parker. At 10-12 touches a game, it’s hard to imagine Mendenhall will be an effective RB2 this season, so personally, I recommend that fantasy owners look elsewhere and draft him as your RB3 if you can land him. You’ll have mitigated the risk while still getting the potential upside of a starting back should Parker go down.

Walter led all Texans’ receivers in 2007, grabbing 65 passes for 800 yards and 4 TDs. Yes, Andre Johnson would have certainly led the team in receptions had he not been hurt, but the encouraging part is that Walter emerged into that #1 role when needed and had a solid season. He is now the clear #2 for the Texans and that offense will only get better in 2008 with Shaub’s first full season as a starter behind him. In spite of all this, Walter seems to be flying way under the radar right now, so he comes with very little risk and lots of upside. With or without AJ, he’s a guy who could put up another 65+ catch campaign and emerge as a solid contributor to your starting lineup.

If you're looking for a WR2 that has WR1-type upside, Anquan Boldin is your guy. In his five NFL seasons, Boldin is averaging 82 receptions per year and 6.07 catches per game played. He has also scored at least seven touchdowns in three of his five NFL campaigns. Boldin is quality. The Cardinals are expected to run the football more in 2008, but that shouldn't concern fantasy owners too much. When you have Larry Fitzgerald, Anquan Boldin, Matt Leinart and Kurt Warner as your team's back-up, you're going to be throwing the football often. As much as Whisenhunt wants to run the football in '08, this team is built to pass. If he ignores that and the staff doesn't pass the football early and often, well... the unit will be playing from behind most of the season anyway, and that just leads to more passing. Expect plenty of gunslinging this upcoming season no matter what, and those AZ receivers are both going to put up top 15WR numbers.

A few years back, Johnson was one of the game’s hottest commodities, being drafted in the top three and posting insane numbers. It all came to a head in 2006 when he put up 41 receptions, 2200 total yards, and 19 TDs…but then came last season’s foot injury, which ended his season after only 8 games. This off-season L.J. can’t be given away, he is currently a mid-second round pick with an average ADP of around 11-14 overall. That may be about to change as recent accounts from mini-camp have his foot 100% healthy and he now seems a good bet to return to his pre-2007 form. The Chiefs certainly need him if they are to going stay competitive, and I see that translating into another big season. If you can manage to grab him as your RB2, you will be off to a great start in your draft.

Matt Leinart is currently being ranked well out of the top 10 at his position, with an ADP right around 14. Doesn’t really make sense if you consider that receiver Larry Fitzgerald is top 5 and Anquan Bolin is top 15. Well, unless you believe old man Warner is going to throw all those passes! Doubtful, and since Leinart has only played the equivalent of 14 games in two seasons, we really don’t know what he is capable of. But with a solid running game and those two elite receivers to throw to, I think he’s is a sure bet to finish top 8. It may sound crazy, but once you get by that first tier of the top 6-7 QBs, the remaining guys all come with questions and doubts, so why not take a shot on Leinart? In my opinion, he has more upside than any of them, and the small investment could end up paying huge dividends.

After years of Ward being the only show in town, all of a sudden the Steelers are loaded in the passing game. Santonio Holmes is entering his (magical) third season, 6-foot-5 Limas Sweed was drafted this past April, TE Heath Miller is as steady as they come, and Nate Washington is also in the mix. This is leading some to believe Ward will be an afterthought in the passing game, but I don’t see it that way. I expect Hines to get the majority of targets in this pass-first offense and see him maintaining (or exceeding) the 72/850/6 pace set over his last two seasons. The talent around him will keep the heat off and allow him to produce WR2 numbers, quite a bargain considering he is going at a WR3 price right now. Grab him if you can!

There are some signs that first-round pick Dustin Keller will be the opening day TE for the Jets - and a great fantasy prospect. First, incumbent TE Chris Baker is unhappy with his current contract and it seems the Jets are equally unhappy with him, recently fining him for missing a mandatory treatment at mini-camp. If the contract squabbles continue, Baker could be traded or released. Second, word out of those same mini-camps is that Keller has been performing well running routes and catching the football, not all that surprising considering he is a converted wide receiver. I’m betting Keller makes the most of his opportunity, so don’t be afraid to draft him when the position gets thin in your redraft league, even as a starter. In dynasty leagues that require tight ends, he is someone to peg in the late first to mid-second of your rookie draft.

Not even one month ago, Chad Johnson was still talking about a possible holdout. How quickly things change! Well, don't say that we didn't warn you. We even went after him on the cheap in our 2008 FFX Dynasty Expert League. We sent Santonio Holmes and Roy Williams to FFToolbox.com and got back Chad Johnson and Todd Heap. This move has now given us this line-up: Tony Romo, Adrian Peterson, Larry Johnson, Michael Turner, Marques Colston, Chad Johnson and Todd Heap. This is in a 12-team Expert Fantasy Site league. Back to Chad... those that followed our lead are about to cash in, because the receiver appears to be as motivated as ever to play football. You may see Chad climb into our top 4-5 WRs entering 2008 and the guy is only 30... so he still actually has dynasty value in that 5-10 range for WRs. Expect big things out of Chad, Palmer and Housh in 2008.

Housh has been the subject of some recent debate on our FFX forums, especially in relation to his Bengal counterpart Chad Johnson. Regardless of how you rank these two, the fact remains that TJ has improved over his last four seasons - culminating in his monster campaign of 112/1143 with 12 TDs last year. Whether he can repeat those numbers is another story. A flurry of turmoil has come out of Cincinnati this off-season; Chad’s mini-holdout, TJ’s non-participation in voluntary workouts, and the more recent news of Chad’s ankle surgery. There can be no doubt that his production in that offense is tied to playing alongside a healthy CJ - if the situation were to get worse TJ’s value would certainly take a hit. I don’t think there is enough there to move him down just yet, so I see Mr. “Whosyourmomma” as a WR1 in 2008 with numbers similar to his 2007 campaign.

Jerry Porter is the Jags new #1 receiver and could be in for a very good season. I realize many have their doubts based on his past performance, but keep in mind that Porter began his career by sitting behind Brown and Rice in Oakland for four years. He didn’t get a real chance to start until 2004, and over those next two years he averaged 70/970/7 playing with Kerry Collins on a bad Raider team. His surroundings have improved greatly in 2008, as he will now play catch with David Garrard on a playoff caliber Jacksonville team that can run the ball. Because of this, it is not hard to imagine him posting similar, or better, numbers than that 04-05 stretch – WR2 potential that you can snag in the later rounds of your draft.

Deep sleeper alert! A third round pick of the Jaguars in 2007, Walker stands in at 6-foot-2, 210 pounds and was clocked running a 4.35 40-yard dash at last year’s combine. He missed all of last season recovering from a knee injury sustained in his junior year of college, but as of late all systems are go. Word out of recent OTAs is that he was cleared early by doctors and is catching the ball very well with no reports of knee swelling. Make no mistake, Walker has a lot of ground to make up, but he’s #1 material at his size and speed. And based on the Jags lack of depth at the position, I believe he will easily work his way into the WR3 spot by the start of the season. If you are looking for a receiver to take a shot on late in your draft, Walker just might be your man!

Matt Forte is causing some controversy on our Forums right now, because when our FFX Dynasty Rankings were updated today, they had Matt Forte ranked one spot above Jonathan Stewart. Crazy? We say absolutely not. Could either side be argued? Absolutely yes. No one is crazy liking any one of these top 3-4 rookie runners over the others, and running backs like Cedric Benson and Cadillac Williams have proven that there are no guarantees in this league when it comes to elite college rushers - The talent doesn't always translate. Well, we say that Matt Forte absolutely deserves to be mentioned in that 3-4 range for 2008 rookie runners. In his final eight games of the 2007 season, the Tulane product averaged an amazing 202.37 yards-per-game on the ground and the back scored 23 rushing touchdowns on the year. If the Bears don't bring in a Kevin Jones, Forte is going to go nuts in Chicago in '08 and beyond.

The 6-foot-2, 220 pound McFadden has blazing 4.33 speed and gained nearly 2,000 totals yards his senior season at Arkansas while hitting paydirt 17 times. Impressive numbers indeed, but DMac's most impressive accomplishment so far was signing his contract early with the Raiders. The six-year, 60-million dollar deal allows him to get into camp immediately - ensuring he can pick up the offense and be ready to handle the load come September. I think it says a lot about this kid’s focus on football and he should be moved up your draft lists accordingly. He is the one running back in this class with the talent and opportunity to help your team immediately and I would not be afraid to grab him as a RB1 in larger dynasty/keeper leagues.

Unless you have been under a rock for the last few days, you probably know that Bills RB Marshawn Lynch was possibly involved in a hit-and-run on Saturday morning. Hours after Lynch’s SUV struck a woman early that Saturday morning, police found the hit-and-run vehicle parked in the runner's driveway. It's way too early to assume much, but with what we all went through with Michael Vick, we now know that anything is possible and even the mighty can fall. Lynch owners should go get Fred Jackson right now just in case this ends badly, and it isn't a bad idea to draft Xavier Omon and draft him early in your 2008 fantasy rookie drafts. Redraft owners have time to watch all this play out, dynasty owners have to act now. Get the pick you need to draft Omon, and trade for Jackson if the price is right. Fact: Omon is the only runner in college football history to rush for over 1,500 yards in all four of his college seasons.

Chad has had quite an offseason. After his verbal assault on the team got him nowhere, Chad has decided to “reinvent himself” and plans to let his play do the talking when minicamps open for the Bengals next week. Whether you believe that or not (I don’t), there is no doubt he is one of the top WRs in the league and is firmly entrenched in the top 8 at his position. He has had 90 catches in four of his last five seasons, averaging 1374 yards and 9 TDs over that span. Those are awesome numbers and you can expect more of the same this season. His value is back on the rise, so don’t expect to steal him in the 3rd or 4th rounds of your drafts anymore – if you want him, you’ll have to grab him earlier.

As you have probably heard, Marshawn Lynch's vehicle was involved in a hit and run over three days ago. Well, news just broke today suggesting that that police investigators are growing tired of Lynch's lack of cooperation in this matter, and the runner still has yet to meet with police. Well, it's time to start thinking about Xavier Omon. We're not suggesting that fantasy owners freak out and trade away Lynch for cheap, as these things can often times fade away as quickly as they emerged... but avoiding disaster is always a smart play. Omon is a very talented running back and if Lynch was ever suspended, or worse, we believe that Omon would be the guy that would likely start for the Bills in '08. Fred Jackson will command consideration, no question, but Omon is a beast-of-a-runner and he may be worth a second-round pick in 2008 rookie fantasy drafts. Think that is too high? Well, go draft that random rookie WR, I'll roll with Omon!

Now that Travis Henry has been released from the Broncos, Selvin Young is now the starting running back in Denver... right? I say wrong. Mike Shanahan is not the Shanahan of old. He does not stick with one runner for very long anymore and he loves to play his rookie runners. I expect Ryan Torain to take the job away from Young by the start of Week 1. If not by Week 1, soon after. I like Selvin and I think he would be a successful fantasy runner in that Denver attack, but if I have learned one thing about Mike Shanahan and his decision-making when it comes to running backs, he goes against the grain almost every time. He is so unpredictable, I wouldn't be shocked at all if Cecil Sapp started Week 1. Point is, Young has upside for the moment, but the real momentum in Denver always seems to be with the guy that isn't starting yet. Keep that in mind as you attack Young via trade!

If you're looking for an extremely deep sleeper at the WR position, Chiefs rookie Will Franklin might be your guy! The fourth-round draft pick out of Missouri appears to have strong hands and some quick moves - He also stands 6-2. It's early, and sometimes these impressive rookies end up getting cut before the season even begins, but so far we like what we're hearing on this kid and we advise fantasy owners to keep an eye on him. Other solid sleeper rookie WRs include: Earl Bennett (Bears), Jerome Simpson (Bengals), Jordy Nelson (Packers).

This time last year Calvin was all the rage; it was argued by some that he be taken ahead of Adrian Peterson in rookie drafts! Crazy, I know, but it gives you an idea of high his value was. In the end, CJ2 posted mediocre numbers - 48/756/4 - in a season marked by a nagging back injury. It was not a totally unexpected outcome, rookie WRs are rarely effective even without injuries. This season things are already looking up for the 6-foot-5, 240 pound man-beast; word out of mini-camp is that he looks sharp and has been a standout player thus far. This should come as no surprise to anyone who has seen him play, the real shock is how cheap he can now be had. Whether it be by draft or trade, his value is as low as it will ever be - take advantage while you can.

McGahee made the jump to Baltimore last season to become their featured back and immediately produced career numbers by putting up 1438 combined yards and 8 TDs in 15 games. This season McGahee is firmly entrenched as the starter and gets the added benefit of working with Cam Cameron who joined the Ravens as their new OC. This is the same Cam Cameron who coached LT to his best statistical season in 2006 and then followed that up with Ronnie Brown in 2007. If you need a refresher, Brown was the #1 back in football through 7 weeks last season before being injured. If the pattern holds, McGahee looks like a lock for top 5 numbers in Cameron’s system this year – a real steal considering his ADP is in the 15-20 range.

Tomlinson turns 29 soon and this has people starting to doubt his status as the #1 player in the game. There are two reasons for this. First, he is being compared to his insane 2300 total yard/33 TD season of 2006, so 2007 looks like the beginning of a downhill slide. In fact, statistically speaking, 2007 was his second best ever; he piled up 1949 total yards while scoring 21 touchdowns - 3rd most in his 7 years in the league. Second, the arrival of a new, young buck in Adrian Peterson has made LT look even older than he is. Funny part is that Peterson missed two games to injury last season – more games than LT has missed in his entire career! It’s all an illusion – Tomlinson is nowhere near ready to give up his throne and he will prove everyone wrong yet again this season.

Braylon Edwards exploded in 2007, catching 80 passes for 1,289 yards and 16TDs. That is a phenomenal campaign and Edwards is certainly capable of putting together another season just like it in 2008. Only injuries stand in his way, but Edwards getting banged up is definitely a concern given his long list of injuries. If healthy, though, the sky is the limit for years and years to come, especially after his beast-of-a-quarterback just signed a three-year deal worth $24 million. Anderson is a top five talent and the biggest reason Edwards ripped it up last season. Edwards is an elite receiver, don't get me wrong, but Anderson is the real deal and Edwards needs him to continue his top 5WR play. Anyone doubting this combo in 2008 will be extremely disappointed at Week 16's end. While I am not marking Edwards down for another 16 scores in this upcoming fantasy year, I think he can throw down more receiving yards... 90 receptions, 1,400 yards and 13-14 scores sounds about right for Edwards.

Andre Johnson is already a stud WR worthy of placement among your top five, but he still has plenty of ability to outperform that ranking. In 2006, he posted a 103/1147/5TD season and would have easily topped all those marks last season had he not been injured for seven games. If you play out his 2007 numbers through 16 games, Johnson could have been looking at a 107/1512/14 TD season – putting him in elite company and in the top three of all those categories. It obviously assumes a lot, but the point is this: the sky is the limit with Johnson, and it’s not a matter of if it will happen, but when. I think 2008 is that season.

Derek Anderson might just be the next Carson Palmer. The Browns quarterback threw for 3,787 yards and 29 touchdowns last season. Even though he had 19 INTs, the 6-6 signal-caller had three rushing touchdowns. Thirty-two total scores is an amazing start to what I feel will be a very successful NFL career. With a receivers like Braylon Edwards and Donte Stallworth stretching the field, I see no reason Anderson can't throw for 4,000 yards and score 35 total touchdowns in 2008. Let someone else draft Drew Brees in the 35-40 range this August, then grab Derek Anderson in the 50-60 range. His ADP could rise as we near August, but I doubt it. Many will question Anderson's hold on the starting gig over in Cleveland, but not us. Anderson is ready to be a top 5-6 fantasy QB and it all starts this upcoming season.

If you are looking for a sleeper at WR this season, Bryant Johnson is one to keep an eye on. Johnson began his career with the Cardinals as a first round pick in 2003 and almost immediately found himself buried behind Boldin and Fitzgerald as their #3 receiver. During that span he averaged 42/550/2 per season – not bad considering the circumstances. That will change this year as Johnson was brought in by the 49ers to compete for the #1 spot in an offense that will be run by Mike Martz. At 6-foot-3, 216 pounds, he has both the size and speed to excel in Martz’s system and I love his chances to get up into the 65+ catch range. Considering his current ADP has him going in rounds 11-13, he will be an absolute steal this season.

For those that don't know, the Rams have a new offensive coordinator this year and his name is Al Saunders. If you remember back, Saunders was in Kansas City from 2001 to 2005, where his teams averaged 48.6 touchdowns per season. Saunders has a history of having success on the ground, it wasn't just in Kansas City. The offensive genius was in St. Louis back in 2000 - Marshall Faulk scored 26 touchdowns that season. This was the same year that the Rams scored 540 points. Faulk, Priest Holmes and Larry Johnson were all scoring machines under Saunders, and both Faulk and Holmes had 26+ touchdown seasons under the guy. L.J. scored 21 total touchdowns in 2005. Steven Jackson is in for a big year!

Recently signed to a new long term contract, David Garrard is poised for a breakout season. In 2007, his first one as a full-time starter, he posted 2,700 total yards (185 on the ground) and 19 TDs in only 12 games. Those are darn good numbers considering the no-name WRs he was working with - something the Jags addressed in the off-season by signing Jerry Porter. He will be the big-bodied wide receiver Garrard needs to stretch the field and the explosive running game led by Maurice Jones-Drew will keep pass defenses honest. All of this points to solid QB1 numbers in 2008 and considering his current ADP has him going in rounds 7 through 9, you will be hard pressed to find a bigger value at QB this season.

Marques Colston had a monster rookie campaign back in 2006, catching 70 balls for 1,038 yards and 8TDs. While many doubted that he could once again spit out insane numbers in his second season as a pro, Colston responded with 98 catches, 1,202 and 11TDs (and to think, 2008 was supposed to be his third-year breakout campaign). I think it is safe to say that this guy is a legit WR1 and doubting his ability to put up 90/1,200/10+ is foolish. His average draft position is starting to climb into the 26-30 range, which is about right, so it doesn't appear that you will be stealing the receiver in early 2008 drafts, but he is well worth the grab in the beginning of that third-round come draft day. The best advice we can give fantasy owners in 2008 drafts is to go RB/RB in the first two rounds and land a Colston as your WR1 - That would be a great start to a very balanced team. Colston in the third is a lot better for the construction of a fantasy team than a Reggie Wayne in the mid second.

Anquan Boldin is staying in Arizona - that's not a bad thing. During his last four seasons in the desert, Boldin has posted a higher per-game average in receptions and receiving yards than Larry Fitzgerald. I’ll wait while you read that again. And while it’s true Fitzgerald has 13 more TDs in those four years, that’s only an average of two more per season. If you are surprised by these numbers, it is likely because most WR rankings have him well below Fitzgerald by 8-12 spots. Boldin’s ADP? Almost two full rounds below Fitzgerald! Use this to your advantage when drafting – Boldin is more than capable of anchoring your WR corps and putting up numbers like that other #1 guy that the Cardinals have. In the meantime, by waiting on a Boldin come draft day, you shore up your RBs and maybe even grab a top QB.

Clinton Portis is a fantasy beast that can be had at a discount price. If you toss out his injury plagued 2006 season, he is averaging 340/1644/9 on the ground and 39/280/1 through the air in his 3 other seasons as a Redskin. That’s a bona fide #1 in any format and things don’t look any different for him in 2008. New head coach Jim Zorn will be implementing a West Coast offense this season and has already indicated that the 26 year-old Portis will be getting a heavy load. If you have a late first-round pick this season, don’t despair; Portis will be waiting for you at the bottom of round-one and produce like a top 5RB when all is said and done.

Respect – where is it for Brees? Here’s a guy who has finished top two in passing yards and #1 overall in completions the last two seasons, in addition to his very steady 54 TD passes over that span, yet in many drafts you won’t see him being selected until the 4th- or 5th-round. Sometimes he will even be the sixth QB taken. While you could argue not taking him ahead of Tom Brady or Peyton Manning, I do see him ahead of guys like Tony Romo, Carson Palmer and Ben Roethlisberger. He clearly has weapons to work with - Marques Colston and Reggie Bush – and runs one of the most explosive offenses in the league. Heck, he can even make average players look good: David Patten with 54 catches? His ADP value is clearly there, so let him fall to you and be confident he will produce like a top 3 QB, maybe more!

While I'm not all that high on Jason Campbell fantasy-wise, I think he will do a decent job getting Santana Moss the football in 2008. Moss will be seriously underrated entering August fantasy drafts, and while I don't advise anyone to expect top 10WR numbers out of the little guy, he has a high ceiling given where you can get him. Moss has top 15WR talent, there is no doubt about it, but it's the injuries, and some quarterback musical chairs, that have caused him to be consistently inconsistent. Moss has put up two thousand-yard seasons in his career, scoring 9TDs in one of them and 10TDs in the other. He is proven, but that inconsistency that i just mentioned will make him a bargain in '08. I expect Washington to play well this upcoming year, and with a little luck in the health department, Moss could be in for another thousand-yard season and eight or so scores. Draft him as a WR3 and you may get more out of him.

Brandon Jacobs had a solid 2007 season, rushing the football 202 times for 1,009 yards and 4TDs. He also added 23 receptions for 174 yards and 2TDs. The back averages 5.0 yards-per-carry and he is an absolute horse when rushing the football, but at 6-4, 264 pounds, he just isn't going to stay healthy if the Giants keep feeding him 18+ carries per game. Well, the emergence of Ahmad Bradshaw could actually help with this, as the team can lessen Jacobs' load down to roughly 10-12 carries per game, which will probably only get him roughly 900 yards rushing, but it may get him back to scoring double-digit touchdowns. It's a give and a take. Less carries between the 20s could equal more healthy touches near the goal line (plus a longer career).

What a season Witten had last year! He caught 96 passes for 1,145 yards (four 100-yard games) and 7TDs. Those are top 10-12WR numbers right there! Most here at FFX have Antonio Gates as their #1TE, but not me. Witten should catch at least 80 passes this coming season for 900-1,000 yards with 7-8TDs. Tony Romo is only going to get better and Witten is his boy! Gates (toe surgery) says he will be ready by Week 1, but even if he is, will he be 100% and able to play 16 games? Because of these question marks, Witten is my guy in 2008 and I don't even hesitate taking him over Gates when on the clock.

Cedric Benson's recent arrest, reportedly for boating while intoxicated and resisting arrest, pushes rookie RB Matt Forte into the spotlight. Our guess is that the Bears will be somewhat quiet on the situation, at least for now, but we fully expect Forte to gain momentum quickly and have a Kung-Fu Grip on the starting job come August. When all is said in done, Matt Forte could end up being the steal of 2008 fantasy football rookie drafts. As far as long-term value goes, we rank the Bears rook fourth, but he could very well have as good a rookie campaign as anyone.

In 15 games last year, Ben Roethlisberger threw for 3,154 yards, 32 touchdowns and 11 INTs. He also ran for 204 yards and two scores. In four seasons, Roethlisberger has led Pittsburgh to two AFC championship games, one Super Bowl and three playoff appearances. No Pittsburgh signal-caller has ever had a better start to their career. There are some obvious line concerns in Pittsburgh, as the offensive line has been on a steady decline since its elite play back in 2004. They gave up 47 sacks last season and just lost All-Pro guard Alan Faneca to the Jets. There is a bright side, though, as Marvel Smith (back surgery) should be back to form in '08 and the team just drafted rookie OT Tony Hills (130th)... it's unclear where Hills will fit in, but he has talent for sure... the coaching staff may shuffle this line around to play to its strengths. The strengths are there, it's all about piecing it together. We expect Roethy to explode in '08.

Who is the #4 rookie runner heading into the 2008 fantasy football season? Well, according to you guys (via our FFX Site poll), it's going to be either Kevin Smith or Matt Forte. My gut tells me that the Forte voters will be the winners when all is said and done, but keep an eye on Denver Broncos rookie runner Ryan Torain. If Shanny publicly crowns Torain as his opening day starter, things could change rather quickly. Reports out of Denver suggest that the Broncos have the same feeling about Torain as they had about Terrell Davis. Because Shanny loves his rookie running backs, it isn't a question of "if" Torain will start for the Broncos, it's "when" Torain start for the Broncos?

The Lions should have grabbed Rashard Mendenhall with that No. 17 overall pick during the 2008 NFL Draft. Good thing for Mendy, though, as the Illinois product is going to have a monster career in Pittsburgh. Mendy will fit into that Steelers offense much like Joseph Addai fits into that Colts offense in Indy. Doubting his upside in PIT is a huge mistake in my opinion. As for Smith, I think that he is a very solid talent and he could have 900/5 type of season as a rookie, but look for him to be quite inconsistent. That offense is only going to move the football down the field so much, and they could be playing from behind in a lot of contests. Matt Forte is looking like my clear #4 runner behind Mendenhall, McFadden and Stewart - Smith is my 5th.

Oakland has some guns! JaMarcus Russell, Javon Walker, DeAngelo Hall and now Darren McFadden. Even if the Raiders struggle to put it all together in 2008, they are sure to be a productive fantasy unit. McFadden was drafted to start and he is going to be used a ton right out of the gate (assuming he signs on time). If forced to draft a rookie runner (in a fantasy rookie draft) with only the 2008 fantasy season in mind, I'd probably go with McFadden, although many staffers here would say Jonathan Stewart. If we're talking for the future, my top ranked rookie is Steelers RB Rashard Mendenhall. Don't get me wrong, McFadden is right there, but the Steelers are a great place for Mendy. Willie Parker felt like he was already on the way out of the fantasy spotlight, so we're not sure why so many fantasy owners are reacting negatively to this landing spot.

Make no mistake, the Atlanta Falcons are on the rise. It all started with the signing of stud running back Michael Turner earlier this off-season, and then it was topped off with the selecting of future-franchise QB Matt Ryan and solidly-talented OT Sam Baker. The Falcons still have a handful of picks for day two (today), so expect the solid additions to continue. This team is being constructed much like the Cleveland Browns were back in 2007, and they may turn the franchise around just as fast. We still like Redman's upside, but Ryan is an outstanding talent and he has a top 10-15WR to toss the ball to in Roddy White. The word out of Atlanta is that the Falcons offensive line is going to play with one goal in mind: To prove everyone wrong. The Falcons organization believes that this offensive line is already underrated - We agree. Turner is a top 10-12 fantasy runner entering '08.

Both Rashard Mendenhall and Jonathan Stewart could have landed in better situations for the '08 season, but both have better future value than most will initially think. DeAngelo Williams is a talent, no doubt, but he is not built to be a full-time runner in the NFL. Even if he could play like one for a season, he wouldn't last long in this league. Stewart is the perfect fit there in Carolina and he might be a stud as early as '08. Even if Williams and Stewart split carries throughout the entire first-half of the '08 season, he could still play as well as Maurice Jones-Drew and Joseph Addai did in their rookie seasons. Both Addai and Jones-Drew shared carries in their rookie seasons back in '06, and between the two, they started just one single game. As you can see, "starting" in this league doesn't necessarily mean a whole lot. With Stewart's talent, even if sharing carries, he can have a monster year. His future is even brighter.

We think that this is a great fit for Matt Forte. Chicago clearly had more questions about their running back situation than their quarterback situation... that says something. With that Chicago defense still being stellar, Forte could be used early and often in 2008 and he may just be the clear #4 overall rookie runner entering 2008 fantasy rookie drafts.

What a crazy 2008 NFL Draft! The Pittsburgh Steelers landed an elite rusher in Rashard Mendenhall, but they already have Willie Parker. So what now? Well, make no mistake, Rashard Mendenhall is the future of that Steelers' rushing attack and he is going to be an absolute fantasy monster... but it is possible that he gets off to a slow start in 2008. Now, it is also possible that the Parker (fractured fibula) may not be as close to 100% as he claims, but for the most part, fantasy owners have to assume that this move was made because the Steelers want to run the football up the middle. For all you 2008 redraft leaguers, consider Mendy a top 30ish overall talent, with room for a lot more... for all you dynasty leaguers, we still firmly believe that Mendy has top 10 overall fantasy upside in the coming years! No question.